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Tag:Cubs
Posted on: October 1, 2008 8:54 am
 

Playoff Predictions: Dodgers Will Shock the Cubs

Red Sox vs. Angels

Red Sox in 4. While the Angels pitching was impressive this season, keep in mind, they aren't dominant. The Red Sox can still score pretty well with Bay, Drew, Ellsbury, Lowell, Varitek, Youkilis and Ortiz. The pitching rotations are nearly evenly matched with the Red Sox starters having a slight edge and the Angels bullpen holding a slight edge. Both lineups are evenly matched, but I'm going with the defending champs on this one. Beckett hasn't been very healthy lately and has struggled, he's due just in time for October.

White Sox vs. Rays

Rays in 4. The Rays dominant rotation will be the impressive figure and keys to their success in this series and the rest of the playoffs. Their hitting can catch fire, but their guys have been beat up with injuries. The White Sox can slug the ball well and should steal a game, maybe two.

Brewers vs. Phillies

Phillies in 4. The Brewers will have to face two lefties, Moyer and Hamels in two of the first three games. C.C. Sabathia should be able to beat out Brett Myers in their matchup as long as he doesn't choke like last year. The Phillies offense is too much to handle, and the Brewers don't have a superb pitcher that can shut down a lineup loaded with some of the best hitters in the NL.

Dodgers vs. Cubs

Dodgers in 5. The Dodgers come into this series with the best bullpen in baseball. Joe Torre has tons of veterans with playoff experience with the likes of Jeff Kent, Manny Ramirez, Juan Pierre, Andruw Jones, Derek Lowe, Nomar Garciaparra and Casey Blake. The possibility of the Dodgers winning this series shouldn't be a surprise to anyone. They are a severely uner-rated underdog with a lot of talent. The Cubs may have the best lineup 1-8, but Pineilla has been known to leave some guys in the pen a little too long even in the playoffs. This should be an interesting series. Dodgers haven't won a series since 1988 and the Cubs haven't won a world series in over a hundred years.

Posted on: June 10, 2008 7:25 pm
Edited on: June 10, 2008 7:53 pm
 

Facts and Stats

Throwing some facts and stats out there.

Statistics are up to date as of June 09, 2008.

Chicago Cubs

Pros:

  • Leads NL ERA: 3.67
  • Leads NL Runs Scored: 352
  • 5th in NL homeruns: 70
  • Leads NL in RBI: 333
  • 3rd in NL Slugging %: .445
  • Leads NL Batting Average: .282

Cons:

  • 10-11 vs. teams with .500+ win %.
  • Losing road record at 14-16.
  • 12th in NL Errors: 42.
  • 8-1 vs. Pirates. 32-23 vs. everyone else
  • 18-5 record against abysmal NL West. 8 of the 11 teams from the NL Central and East have winning records against the NL West. 22-19 vs. everyone else.
  • 2 NL teams with .500+ win %, Have not played: Marlins, Braves.

 

 


 

St. Louis Cardinals

Pros:

  • 4th fewest NL errors: 35
  • 14-11 vs. teams with .500+ win %.
  • Winning record on the road, at home, vs. each division, in inter-league play, and vs. winning teams.
  • 6th in NL ERA: 3.93
  • 6th in NL RBI: 289
  • 3rd in NL batting average: .273
  • 3rd fewest stolen bases allowed: 26

Cons:

 


 

 

Philadelphia Phillies

Pros:

  • 17-11 vs. teams with .500+ win %. Has played every winning team except Cardinals.
  • Winning record on the road, at home, vs. each division, and vs. winning teams.
  • 5th in NL ERA: 3.84
  • 2n in NL homeruns: 93
  • 2nd in NL RBI: 331
  • 2nd in NL Slugging %: .454

Cons:

  • Losing record during inter-league play.
  • 4th most stolen bases allowed: 48.

 


 

 

Florida Marlins

Pros:

  • 14-10 vs. teams with .500+ win %
  • Winning record on the road, at home, vs. each division, and vs. winning teams.
  • Tied with Giants and Nationals for most shutouts (5).
  • Leads NL Home runs: 95.
  • 3rd in NL RBI: 299
  • Leads NL in Slugging %: .457

Cons:

  • Losing record during inter-league play.
  • Leads NL in errors: 56,and tied with Rangers for major league lead.
  • 14th in NL ERA: 4.62, and 15th in NL Walks: 259.
  • Batter strike out too much for league lead: 532.
  • 2 NL Teams at .500+ win % they have not played: Cardinals, Cubs.

 


 

 

Arizona Diamondbacks

Pros:

  • 3rd in NL ERA: 3.72
  • 4th in NL homeruns: 71
  • 5th in NL RBI: 291
  • 4th in NL slugging %: .427

Cons:

  • Batters are 3rd in strikeouts : 488
  • 2nd most NL hits allowed: 532
  • 3rd most NL Errors: 46
  • 3rd lowest NL batting average: .250
  • Losing record of 6-14 against teams with .500+ win %
  • Losing road record of 13-18
  • Losing record against NL East: 7-10
  • Losing record against NL Central: 5-11

 

 


 Up to this point, the Phillies appear to be the most sound team. They are the only one to play all teams that are at or above a .500 winning percentage. They have winning records in all areas, except inter-league play, and don't have any major faulty stats that can indicate weaknesses other then stolen bases allowed. The Phillies could use one more starter in their rotation and they will be set.

 


 

 Marlins potential for success lies in 3 areas. First, they need to field the ball. Jorge Cantu has 11 home runs, but 14 errors. Dallas McPherson is near ready to be brought up to take over 3B. With Willingham nearly healthy the Marlins can do away with Cantu. Second, comes the closer situation. Kevin Gregg is comparable to Braden Looper, he can close about 20 games per season, but will need extra help during a playoff run. Third comes down to starting rotation. Do the Marlins go out there and pick up an extra starter and dump Mark Hendrickson, or wait to see how Sergio Mitre and Anibel Sanchez perform when they return at the All-Star break, or Josh Johnson in late-August. Best bet is to trade for a veteran starter. Deal off 2 of the 3 between Mark Hendrickson, Justin Miller and Logan Kensing while they still have value. Maddux and Sabathia could possibly be available, but the Marlins won't unload for Sabathia for what he demands and the lack of playoff punch he delivers. Maddux would be an excellent pickup to provide leadership to a very young rotation.

 


 

 Cardinals at this point are unproven. There is 4 teams at .500 or above they have not yet faced, and they have not faced 4 of the 5 NL East teams. The Cardinals currently though is the only team to have a winning record in all areas: road, home, vs. each division, against the winning teams they have faced, vs. losing teams, and during inter-league play. They appear to be fairly balanced, but among all winning teams they have yet to face 4 other winning teams and 4 of the beastly hitting NL East teams.

 


 

 The Diamondbacks has all the pitching needed to win, and then some more in the minors with Yusmeiro Petit. D'Backs can hit the long ball, but have way too many weaknesses. D'Backs pitchers allow too many hits and get too few themselves. Run support is seriously lacking. Against beastly hitting teams they are 1-8 versus the Phillies, Marlins, and Cubs. D'Backs match up well with the Marlins due to the Marlins stadium being a pitchers park, but the Phillies and Cubs play in the most hitter friendly parks in the NL. Best thing to do now is to trade elite prospect Yusmeiro Petit and a few others and pull in a bat. A deal with the Marlins would be a good fit, they need pitching and the D'Backs need hitting.

 


 

 Cubs at this point look great in every offensive category, but their record against the NL West and Pittsburg Pirates stand out too much. As noted already, 8 of the 11 teams from the NL Central and East have winning records against the West, and the Pirates have been pounded on by just about every team with a winning record. Cubs have a 10-11 losing record against winning teams, that along with a 3-game sweep of the D'Backs. I'm a bit skeptical about how good this team really is. Dempster is having a career year and Geovany Soto will most likely win rookie of the year. Ramirez, De.Lee, and Soriano is healthy so there is no fluke in their hitting. Short stop Ryan Theriot has been the biggest surprise so far this season. Can he keep it up? Fukudome is starting to look like the next Hee Soip Choi, after having a monstrous first 3 weeks he has struggled. Cubs current weaknesses lie in that they only have Zambrano and Dempster. Wood is always an injury waiting to happen. This team needs to pick up 2 more starters and an insurance closer. The Cubs will continue to have the easiest schedule of the season and will have only one tough stretch against winning teams starting July 21 to July 31st as they face the Brewers, Marlins, and Diamondbacks.

Category: MLB
 
 
 
 
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