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Tag:Predictions
Posted on: October 13, 2009 8:49 pm
 

MLB Second Round Predictions

The first round to me was not so hard to predict in my last blog . Teams like the Twins, Rockies, and Cardinals were fortunate to have unbalanced and favorable schedules, and play in weak divisions. The Red Sox have no passion, no team chemistry, and just are not that good without Manny Ramirez in that lineup.


So anyways, moving on to the next round.

Yankees vs. Angels   ANGELS IN 6.

Phillies vs. Dodgers   DODGERS IN 7



I would like to see the Phillies win the whole thing to represent that NL East division, but somehting tells me that backend of the bullpen is going to exproad. No not explode, EXPROAD!

And yes I'm seeing this Angels team going to the World Series like it is 2002 all over again.

My prediction is an all L.A. Series, Dodgers vs Angels.


Good Luck Fellas.
Posted on: October 4, 2009 7:16 pm
 

End of Season Smack Talk

Early Season Predictions


So how about those Mets! Am I a genius for my early season predictions on the NL East or did I come upon dumb luck?

NL EAST: 5/5

NL CENTRAL: 2/6

NL WEST: 1/5

AL EAST: 0/5

AL CENTRAL: 2/5 PENDING

AL WEST: 2/4

TOTAL: 12/30. 40% Correct


Season Awards


My picks on who should win what.

AL Cy Young

Winner : Justin Verlander

2nd place: Zack Greinke

3rd pace: Felix Hernandez

 

NL Cy Young

Winner : Tim Lincecum

2nd place:  Adam Wainwright

3rd pace: Matt Cain


AL MVP

Winner : Joe Mauer

2nd place: Ian Kinsler

3rd pace: Miguel Cabrera


NL MVP

Winner : Ryan Howard

2nd place: Albert Pujols

3rd pace: Pablo Sandoval and Hanley Ramirez (TIE)


AL Rookie of the Year

Winner : Elvis Andrus

2nd place: Gordon Beckham

3rd pace: Rick Porcello


NL Rookie of the Year

Winner : Chris Coghlan

2nd place: Tommy Hanson

3rd pace: Dexter Fowler and Colby Rasmus (TIE)


Playoff Predictions. UH OHHHHHHHH

1st Round

American League

(PENDING ) Yankees vs Tigers. YANKEES IN 5

(PENDING ) Yankees vs Twins. YANKEES IN 4

Red Sox vs Angels. ANGELS in 4


National League

Phillies vs Rockies. PHILLIES in 3

Cardinals vs Dodgers. DODGERS in 4

Posted on: March 25, 2009 11:44 pm
Edited on: April 1, 2009 6:10 pm
 

Season Predictions

 National League East

  1. Philadelphia Phillies
  2. Florida Marlins
  3. Atlanta Braves
  4. N.Y. Mets
  5. Washington Nationals

National League Central

  1. St. Louis Cardinals
  2. Cincinnatti Reds
  3. Houston Astros
  4. Chicago Cubs
  5. Milwakee Brewers
  6. Pittsburg Pirates

National League West

  1. Arizona Diamondbacks
  2. San Francisco Giants
  3. Los Angeles Dodgers
  4. San Diego Padres
  5. Colorado Rockies

American League East

  1. Tampa Bay Rays
  2. N.Y. Yankees
  3. Boston Red Sox
  4. Baltimore Orioles
  5. Toronto Blue Jays

American League Central

  1. Kansas City Royals
  2. Minnesota Twins
  3. Chicago White Sox
  4. Cleveland Indians
  5. Detroit Tigers

American League West

  1. Anaheim Angels
  2. Texas Rangers
  3. Oakland Athletics
  4. Seattle Mariners

 

Category: MLB
Tags: MLB, Predictions
 
Posted on: September 30, 2008 6:25 pm
Edited on: October 1, 2008 8:18 am
 

Season Predictions Review

In my 2008 NL Predictions blog I made a lot of predictions that flip flopped. Here I give you a review of my predictions and how they turned out. To see my predictions you can click here.

Team Standings

National League

- N.Y. Mets. I picked the N.Y. Mets to win the National League East. Unfortunately for them history repeated and the Marlins knocked them out of the playoffs in the final day of the season, and the Cubs+Marlins knocked them out of first place in the final week. Mets should have ran off with the division if not for a poor first half by Carlos Delgado, Carlos Beltran, and Jose Reyes. Mets finish in second, instead of first.

- Philadelphia Phillies. Phillies should have finished in second if not for ANOTHER Mets collapse in the final week of the season. Their pitching was horrible and their offense inconsistent. Jimmy Rollins had injury problems and Brett Myers lost himself. Phillies finish in first instead of second.

- Washington Nationals. Who would have thought they would have been this bad. Lastings Milledge, Willie Harris, Elija Dukes, Ronnie Belliard, Christian Guzman and Ryan Zimmerman is the face of the lineup. Most of these guys would be bench players on other teams. Paul Lo Duca flopped and the names of these once top propects have been lost just like their talent. They finish dead last not even close to my third place prediction.

- Florida Marlins. I picked them to finish in fourth and debated with myself that maybe I am not having enough faith in them. I knew coming into this season there was a chance that they were going to score runs, but when you have Josh Johnson, Henry Owens, Ricky Nolasco, Anibal Sanchez, and Sergio Mitre injured to start the season and is come out with Mark Hendrickson as your ace after trading Dontrelle Willis, you have to be skeptical. One thing I knew for sure was that the Braves were going to be a bad team. I never anticipated that the Nationals would be horrendous. I quickly followed up my prediction with a statement in the blog following that reads "In my last blog I picked the Marlins to finish in 4th place, but now I am having second thoughts about that prediction. The thing I failed to include in my thoughts, just like many others predictions, is the maturity of the players over the offseason. Statistics is usually indicative of what to expect, but with young players you always have to keep an eye open to how they handle themselves. This team could potentially be a third place team, or 2nd place team if ...". Marlins finish in third as opposed to my original 4th place prediction.

- Atlanta Braves. I was appalled at the idea that the Braves was picked to finish above the Marlins and Nationals. I don't remember which writer between Larry Dobrow or Scott Miller actually picked them to finish in first or second place. The Braves finished in 4th place, opposed to my last place prediction. I was close. Very close!

 

NL Central

- Chicago Cubs. Picking them to win such a weak division was a no brainer here so I thought. Correct Prediction.

- Cincinatti Reds. What in the world happened here? Volquez, Cueto, and Haraang should have each been 15 game winners. Only Volquez lived up to expectations. This team simply did not play as a unit. Griffey and Dunn got traded and Haraang's arm looks like it is going to fall off. Edwin Encarnacion had a career year and Brandon Phillips was easily among the best second basemen in the game most of the year. When  watched the Reds play the Marlins my answer to what happened became apparent. This team is immature, Griffey and Dunn are veterins with no leadership skills,and Dusty Baker is a horrible manager. Reds finish in fourth instead of second.

- Milwakee Brewers. Something told me that this team wouldn't go far with the departure of Doug Davis to the Diamondbacks and the preseason rumblings by Prince Fielder. It still doesn't make sense to fire their manager after 2 long winning streeaks that got them into contention after acquiring C.C. Sabathia. Brewers finished in second and wins the Wild Card instead of my 3rd place prediction.

- St. Louis Cardinals. LaRussa has always been a good manager and I felt that he was going to do something special, at least good enough to finish above the Pirates and Astros, and he did. Cardinals had an excellent season and finished right where I expected them. Correct Prediction.

- Pittsburg Pirates. All those moves and all that hope. This team lost Ian Snell early, traded Xavier Nady and Jason Bay, and quit before they even got started. They began the season getting pounded by the Marlins and Cubs. They finish in dead last instead of 5th.

- Houston Astros. Roy Oswalt got splattered around the league. No Roger Clemens or Andy Pettitte. No Billy Wagner. Just a lineup of guys looking for syringes and hoping no one catches them. That was my thoughts. They overachieved and finished in third place instead of last.

 

NL West

- Los Angeles Dodgers. I picked the Dodgers to somehow find a way to win the NL West even though for most of the season I barked about how good the Diamondbacks pitching rotation is. Early on I was sold on Joe Torre, Brad Penny, Jason Schmidt, Jeff Kent, Andruw Jones, and Rafael Furcal having outstanding seasons and edging out the D'Backs. They edged out the D'Backs of course, but definitely not because of Schmidt or Andruw Jones. The acquisition of Manny Ramirez and Casey Blake, resurgence of Nomar, and rise of Billingsley got it all done. Correct Prediction.

- San Diego Padres. I should have known last year was a fluke season where everyone overachieved. But honestly I thought they had what it took. I expected Mark Prior to step up, Chris Young the pitcher to have a Cy Young run, and Jim Edmonds to be at least half of what he was in St. Louis last year. What went wrong Khalil Greene and company underachieved, went to sleep and played dead all year. Padres finish in last instead of second.

- Arizona Diamondbacks. Their offense was weak last year and again this year. Their rotation was good, but they did not have Doug Davis all season. Micah Owings attitude got him traded to the Pirates, and R.J. put out what he has left. Dan Haren was solid, but not always healthy and Brandon Webb pitched lights out. It don't matter how good your rotation is if you can't score runs though. D'Backs finished second instead of third.

- Colorado Rockies. Last year was a fluke and most people knew it. This team didn't change and they finished a little better then what I expected. They finish in 3rd instead of 4th, but still with a bad record.

- San Francisco Giants. No Barry means "More Money, More Problems". This team was horrible most of the year. If not for a flip flop by the Padres, the Giants would have ran off with last place. Tim Lincecum and Matt Cain had favorable matchups while Zito lost to every Ace he faced, meaning he pobably shouldn't be your #1 go-to guy anymore. Giants finish in 4th instead of last.

AL East

- Boston Red Sox. I picked them to win the division, but I didn't expect the Rays to be that good. Finished in second instead of first.

- N.Y. Yankees. They got old overnight and picked up Joe Girardi. I forgot to factor in Girardi's management skills would knock them out. Yankees finish in third instead of second.

- Tampa Bay Rays. I picked them to be in third because the Orioles and Blue Jays were that bad and the Rays is actually a very decent team. I figured this being 2008, 8 means perfection in the bible and the Devil being castrated from the team name, hey why not, but the Rays blew away my expectations. Rays finish in first instead of third.

- Baltimore Orioles. Not a whole lot to say here. I didn't expect much from them, but you have to give them respect for such an outstanding first month. They were the most likely to tail off to the bottom and so they did. They finish in last instead of 4th though.

- Toronto Blue Jays. Aye ya ok. So who is this A.J. Burnett that has underachieved most of his career. He blew up my prediction and helped the Jays finish just behind the Yanks in 3rd place instead if my las place prediction.

 

AL Central

- Cleveland Indians. I picked them to finish in first. I wasn't sold on C.C. last year, but I figured he would be serviceable. My gut feeling told me to draft Jake Westbrook and Cliff Lee in the final 2 rounds. Westbrook was red hot in his first few starts and same with Lee. Jake went down, but Lee continued for an entire season. Still the offense wasn't there for the tribe. They finish in third instead of first.

- Chicago White Sox. It took the ChiSox 163 games to decide where they finished and they decided on winning the division instead of my second place prediction. This is a team that won the World Series a few seasons ago and with the maturity of several ballplayers, how could you not pick them to finish high in the division. I wasn't sold very much on the Tigers. White Sox win the AL Central instead of finishing in second.

- Detroit Tigers. Something was fishy with them. It is called AGE. Most of their players were due to break down. Miggy became a fatty in the offseason and the D-Train was due to break down. Apparently so did most of the old guys on the team. Tigers finish in last instead of my third place prediction.

- Kansas City Royals. Bannister was the surprise for the first couple months, and Greinke was his typical self. John Buck should have started more games. I figured the catching situation would be ugly with Jose Olivo and it was. Royals finish in fourth. Correct Prediction.

- Minnesota Twins. They traded Johan to the Mets. I should have known better then to predict them to finish last. Every team that rips off the Mets get better the following season. Plus Ron Gardenhire did an excellent job. Mauer and Morneau had great seasons too. Twins finish in second instead of last.

 

NL West

- Anaheim Angels. They have been beating on the division for years. Gotta go with them fir first place. Correct Prediction.

- Seattle Mariners. They're nothing without Mike Hargrove as their manager. Not even a good pitching rotation can pitch to the worse catcher in the majors and win with such a lousy manager replacement. They finished in dead last and destroyed my prediction.

- Texas Rangers. Thanks to Seattle being so horrible, the Rangers finished in second place, instead of third. They are a good team, but I really doubt they would have had much success if Seattle woke up.

- Oakland Athletics. You can't win if you give up bfore the season begins. Only reason the A's finish 3rd instead of last is because the Mariners stunk it up.

 


 

Comeback player of the Year

Originally, I picked Odalis Perez to be NL comeback player of the year, but MLB handed the award to Brad Lidge. I didn't pick an AL comeback player of the year. Cliff Lee wins it over Josh Hamilton. Pretty tough one between Lee/Hamilton.

 


 

Player Views

  • I wasn't impressed with Jeff Francouer early on. I compared him to Mark Kotsay and realistically that is what he was similar to. Franc got sent down to the minors twice. He is still young, but you have to wonder if he can rebound and stop swinging at everything the pitcher throws.
  • Micah Owings should have been a good fantasy sleeper, but he got booted out of the D'Backs rotation and then out of Arizona after his temper tantrum.
  • Indians did not have the best rotation as I predicted. Sabathia got traded, Carmona and Westbrook injured, Byrd was himself, and Lee had the season I expected.
  • Jake Westbrook will not win the Cy Young, and the Indians won't win the World Series.
  • I mentioned Cliff Lee, Jake Westbrook, and Fausto Carmona would all be Cy Young candidates.
  • I said the Tigers pitcihng rotation sucks outside of Verlander and I was right. Verlander got injured and all hope was lost. D-Train broke down and I was correct on the Tigers pitching situation.
  • I said 1-6 the Marlins players can hit 20+ homeruns and I was somewhat correct. Hanley, Cantu, Jacobs, Uggla, and Ross all hit 20+. Hermida fell short at 17.
  • Brad Penny won't be winning the Cy Young. I was wrong there.
  • Neither will Oliver Perez.
  • David Wright will get an honorable mention for MVP as expected, but he won't win it.

 


 

Media Stories

  • I was wrong on Clemens. He has gone ape mad, but he hasn't snitched on anyone yet.

  • I predicted the Red Sox would be eliminated in the first round of the playoffs. They won't be playing the Indians like I predicted, but they can still get eliminated.

  • So really, who would you rather have, Alex Rodriguez or the Florida Marlins?

  •  N.Y. Mets and Yankees BOTH didn't make the playoffs.

  • Sadly there won't be an all Florida world series since the Marlins didn't make it.


 

 

Category: MLB
Posted on: September 4, 2008 10:57 pm
Edited on: September 4, 2008 11:02 pm
 

My Bold Predictions

At this point you can pretty much see that the Cubs and Brewers are pretty much sure locks to make the playoffs, assuming they don't fall into a total collapse, such as the Marlins did in the past month.

Cubs, Brewers, and Diamondbacks look to make the playoffs and then there is the Mets and Phillies battling for the East. Phillies have been playing like they don't want to make the playoffs, but they might not have a say about it when the Mets have to face a Marlins team that has given them problems all year.

My bold prediction #1. Cubs versus the Diamondbacks in the first round will determine who represents the National League in the World Series. If the Cubs get by the D'Backs it should be fair game as long as some unknown dark horse pitcher doesn't step up to dominate a series. The Mets or Phillies, whoever wins the NL East has their pitching problems. Phillies have Cole Hamels, but the rest of their rotation is generally weak and not even in the caliber of Ted Lilly or Jason Marquis. The Mets have 7-inning Johan Santana, Mike Pelfrey who struggles against good teams, and a bullpen that is very erratic.

The Diamondbacks as I have preached all year has the best pitching rotation in the National League, and at this point maybe even in the Major Leagues. Brandon Webb, Dan Haren, Randy Johnson, Doug Davis, and the sudden emergence of a former elite Mets prospect by the name of Yusmeiro Petit. I've found my dark horse here in Arizona and his name is Yusmeiro Petit, not to be confused with HGH user Andy Pettitte. RJ has been here before and Webb-Haren can pitch against any lineup of monsters you throw at them.

Pick For NL Representative: Arizona Diamondbacks

 

For the American League we should see the war of baseball between the Anaheim Angels and Tampa Bay Rays. This just might be the first playoffs we have seen in a long time where there is no Red Sox or Yankees. Wow! If the Twins can pull off a good final month they just might make it in.

The Rays have silenced doubters all season long and fought through so many injuries and suspensions along with the majors longest losing streak of the season. Are they that good or just plain lucky? I gotta believe, yes they are that good, but are they good enough to beat the Angels?

Pick For AL Representative: Anaheim Angels

 

NL MVP Chase (Bold Prediction #2)

Carlos Lee and Lance Berkman has had outstanding stats all year, but not until late in the season did the Astros finally start to make a push for a wild card bid. Pitching has been bad all year in Houston and the offense has been silenced before while Lee and Berkman have crushed the ball in many meaningless games. Sadly, their monster seasons have been irrelevant most of the year.

Hanley is an incredibly good offensive player, but is just bad defensively and actually has cost the Marlins more games then even Dan Uggla. Uggla is the true Marlins MVP, but certainly not good enough to be MVP of the National League. Chase Utley plays in shrinky dinky homer friendly Philly and just like back when we saw balls fly out of Coors field so easily, we see them in Philly. People are starting to notice.

Manny has been Manny once again and he just might be the NL MVP. Hell, I'm even suggesting that if C.C. is to be considered then so should Man-Ram. Now there is 2 unknown commodities that have been consistently good all season and have actually contributed to a winning cause. Their names are Ryan J. Braun of the Brewers and David Wright of the Mets.

NL MVP Pick: Brewers Ryan Braun

 

No American League player stands out more then Roy Halladay and Cliff Lee. One should be the Cy Young winner, the other the MVP, or maybe they can co-share both awards. Sadly both guys won't make the playoffs. People say Hamilton isn't the best player in Texas even though he is the feel good inspirational story of the year and also the team captain there. Hamilton is a pretty darn good player though from what I've seen.

Alex Rodriguez has been booed and booed and booed and booed. And still people ask Joe Girardi, who would you rather have? An entire Marlins team for 23 Million or Alex Rodriguez?

AL MVP Pick: Rangers Josh Hamilton

 

Bold Prediction #3

This really isn't all that bold when it comes to pitching. Some guys feast on bad teams and some guys feast on steak. Tim Lincecum and Brandon Webb feast on the NL West. Maybe the NL West is better then we realize. Maybe it is just that with pitchers like Brandon Webb, Dan Haren, Tim Lincecum, Matt Cain, Chad Billingsley and a few others, it is the hitters that are being made look bad by great pitching. In theory, this is possible.

Now in the NL Central you have C.C. Sabathia who feasts on steak, beans, and even bad teams. We all are like ooohhh and ahhh at the success C.C. has had in the NL, but really who has he faced that is good? The Cubs? Yes and they lit him up through 6 innings. After that his resume of wins come against the Rockies, Padres, Nationals, Pirates, Reds, Giants, Cardinals and Astros. Only the last two have winning records.

NL Cy Young Pick: Giants Tim Lincecum and D'Backs Brandon Webb (Co-Winners)

 

The American League as I stated above is pretty much hands down. It is either Roy or Cliff. Take your pick. With some of my final fantasy picks I picked Cliff Lee as my last pick and picked him up off the trash heap in week 1. I had a haunch that Lee and Westbrook were healthy. They both showed good stuff at the end of last year and then were outright nasty in spring training. So I had to go with both. Sadly Westbrool is injured and Lee was a great choice.

AL Cy Young Pick: Indians Cliff Lee

 

Other Awards:

NL Comeback Player of the Year: Marlins 3B Jorge Cantu

AL Comeback Player of the Year: Rangers OF Josh Hamilton

NL Rookie of the Year: Cubs C Geovany Soto

AL Rookie of the Year: Tigers SP Armando Galarraga

NL Manager of the Year: Cardinals Tony Larussa

AL Manager of the Year: Rays Joe Maddon

Category: MLB
Posted on: April 10, 2008 12:24 am
 

Indians in 2008?

You better believe it. I believe the Cleveland Indians will be the 2008 American League representative. Originally I had in mind that they would face the Mets, but it is looking like the Mets with all their injuries and inconsistency probably won't win their division.

What makes me believe the indians will win it all? Pitching. 1 through 5 the Cleveland Indians have the best pitching rotation in the Majors. Most won't agree with me, but in time you will see what I see.

  1. Fausto Carmona
  2. C.C. Sabathia
  3. Jake Westbrook
  4. Paul Byrd
  5. Cliff Lee


Back in 2004 Westbrook posted a 14-9 record with a 3.38 ERA in 215 2/3 Innings. For the seasons following his breakout year he won 15 games each year, but then was plagued with injuries throughout the 2007 season. In the playoffs last year he emerged as the true heart and soul of the Indians rotation. He beat the BoSox in game 3, and in a gutsy effort with little run support he was marked as the losing pitcher after he handed the game to his bullpen that allowed 8 runs afterwards.

Now I'm not pinning this whole season on the success of Westbrook. Cliff Lee is a former 18 game winner from back in 2005 where he posted an 18-5 record with a 3.79 ERA in 202 innings. After 2005 Lee had a solid 2006 season, but then was plagued with injuries in 2007 just like Westbrook.

Paul Byrd is a very solid number 4 pitcher. He opens up the year as the 4th pitcher, but in time he will likely be lowered to the number 5 spot if Lee returns to his former self.

If it wasn't for Carmona's dominance in 2007, the Indians would not have made the playoffs. Sabathia may have won the Cy Young award, but he wouldn't have done it without the extra playoff exposure. Carmona finished last year with a 19-8 record with a 3.06 ERA in 215 innings with 137 strikeouts. Sabathia went 19-7 with a 3.21 ERA in 241 innings with 209 strikeouts.

 

If this pitching rotation can stay healthy and put it all together for career years, then you will have the most lethal rotation in all of baseball. So far Westbrook, Carmona, and Lee have looked impressive in their first couple of starts. Sabathia and Byrd hasn't done so hot, but surely will improve as the season moves along.


We all know defense and pitching wins championships. The Indians was in 11th in the majors and 6th in the American League in fielding percentage in 2007. This lands them slightly above average compared to most teams in MLB.

I will stand by my prediction that the Tribe will have the best pitching and solid defense that leads them to a championship this season.

 

Predictions:

  • Jake Westbrook will be the Cy Young award winner.
  • The Cleveland Indians win the AL and World Series.
  • Cliff Lee, Jake Westbrook and Fausto Carmon will be among the candidates in Cy Young voting.
Category: MLB
 
 
 
 
The views expressed in this blog are solely those of the author and do not reflect the views of CBS Sports or CBSSports.com